Category Archives: Scottish League

Five things: Mancity, Zola, predictors, Henry, Hibs

After a few months off for ‘logistical’ reasons, Five Things returns with absolutely nothing new to say at all.

1. Roberto Mancity
Bloody foreigners, coming over here, stealing our women and jobs.

I’m not sure if Mrs Hughes was part of the deal but Roberto Mancini certainly did take Mark’s job at Manchester City. The spray painters were hard at work last summer making sure that all the writing was on the wall for Hughes – it was just unclear how many matches would be a match too far for the Welshman.

While on one hand it’s easy to have sympathy for Hughes I do recall some of his more crass behaviour last summer when attempting to lure players such as Joleon Lescott and John Terry from Premier Leauge rivals. As novice gardeners would tell you, you reap what you sew.

His downfall has been mainly about results (far too many draws more than watered down the fact that they have lost less league games than anyone else). But in spite of having one of the best goalkeepers in the league and spent around £50m on Wayne Bridge, Kolo Toure and Lescott , the defending has been shambolic at times.

His best signings have probably been Craig Bellamy and Shay Given, two moves that were given a lot less column inches than the more high-profile captures of Emmanuel Adebayor, Carlos Tevez and Toure. And now with Mancini at the helm one wonders what the January transfer window will bring: more reliable, home grown talents or risky imports from the Italian league?

2. Nice guy Zola to finish last?
Another defeat for West Ham today has left Gianfranco Zola’s team looking vulnerable in the bottom four. Today they managed 3 attempts on goal compared to Tottenham’s 21. That’s a hiding.

True, they are only a few days removed from a good home win over Portsmouth and three points from 11th position. But with an injury list that includes Mark Noble, Carlton Cole, Danny Gabbidon, Kieron Dyer and the retired Dean Ashton (and today Scott Parker and Herita Ilunga were added to it), Zola has a very limited collection of players to choose from.

Matthew Upson looks set to leave in January and the future of Scott Parker is also unclear. Losing one of them (it’s unlikely that both would be allowed to go until the summer) is hardly going to aid their survival battle, but the club needs the money.

Will nice guy Zola be jettisoned in a panic? History would suggest he might be if results don’t pick up in the next four weeks.

3. Schizophrenic predictors
A few months ago Chelsea were running away with the league, Arsenal and Liverpool were out of it. Then Liverpool were back in it – and now they’re out of it again – while Arsenal can now be considered contenders once more. Manchester United are struggling but Chelsea are struggling more so United might be favourites again. The tiresome habit of fans and pundits making premature predictions will be with us forever.

Many Arsenal fans suggested that they were out of the title race a month ago when they lost to Sunderland and Chelsea then hammered them at home. But often this is just the human way of dealing with disappointment – and football fans are not exactly known for their rationality or sense of perspective. If they win their two games in hand on Chelsea they will be just one point from the top.

Predictions are made in such a knee-jerk way these days that nowhere near enough analysis goes in to reaching the conclusions that pundits, fans and even professional players do. Excluding clubs like Arsenal and (to a lesser extent) Liverpool from the title race in November and December is complete folly.

Sure, it is unlikely that Liverpool will win the league but all it takes is a for Chelsea and Manchester United to drop 6 points in January and Liverpool to win four in a row and suddenly they are only two wins from the top again. Pundits can also ignore upcoming battles between the top four if they are not on the immediate horizon – it’s not just the bottom six that compete in ‘six pointers’.

Other factors like injuries and key players missing because of, say, the African Nations Cup, can also play a huge role.

For what it’s worth I tipped Liverpool for the title and I don’t think they do have much hope given that they have lost so much ground in the last four weeks. But it’s only now that pundits should be able to make that call – not back in October as many did. The fact they may have been right is irrelevant.

4. Cut Guilty Henry Some Slack
I was MIA during Thierry Henry’s Handgate drama in France’s World Cup qualifier against Ireland.

Yes, it was a hard pill to swallow for Ireland given that they should have been played off the park but against all the odds competed admirably against a laborious French side. Yes, it was an illegal goal. Yes, it was poor officiating and poor sportsmanship.

But why vilify Thierry Henry? If he had done this in a Spanish cup game when Barcelona were 4-0 up against Cadiz, no one would have cared less. Why should Henry suddenly become some bastion of righteousness because it was at a crucial moment in a crucial match.

It’s not Henry’s fault that the referee and his assistant failed to see it. It’s not his fault that the world’s governing body refuse to introduce video replays while making impotent changes such as introducing two extra officials.

Henry was guilty – but he’s not to blame.

5. Can Hibs turn two in to three?
Is the Scottish Premier League set to become a three horse race for the first time since the 1980s?

Rangers and Celtic are at the most insipid they have been for some time although the former has shown signs of life recently with five league wins in a row, scoring 19 goals in the process. Celtic have struggled away from home, losing at Dundee United and Hearts in the last month but have kept in touch with their rivals in spite of this. They can close the gap with a home win over Rangers next weekend.

But it’s third place Hibernian who should be stealing the headlines right now. They blotted their copy book with a 1-4 reverse at home to Rangers this week but before that they were 12 games unbeaten and find themselves within four points of second place Celtic.

A league challenge might be beyond them given the resources available to their illustrious rivals (which, while in decline, are still vastly superior to Hibs). But if they can cause one of the Glasgow giants a few sleepless nights (metaphorically – I don’t mean they should play brass instruments outside the player’s houses) then it might add a whole new dynamic to the title chase.


Race For the Title and Other Tittle Tattle

It’s not over

I certainly don’t want to add to the great Sky hype machine but this weekend’s Premier League race could go down to the closing minutes. I did suggest during my relegation preview in February that Wigan could give Man United a problem if they needed a win to stay up on the last day. Well even though they are now safe I still have a sneaking feeling that it’s not going to be all plain sailing for Redface. Bruce – who I feel had gone stale at Birmingham – has done a good job at Wigan. With just two defeats in eleven games and consecutive draws against Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool (having lost the last 20 Premiership games against the top four before Bruce arrived), Wigan don’t have that confidence problem that has beset the likes of Birmingham and, until recently, Newcastle.

Down south it should be a narrow win over the slightly-improved Bolton at Stamford Bridge. They still look fairly divided on the pitch but there is enough quality to nick a couple of goals and keep the pressure on United.

While I’d like to see Chelsea win it in the knowledge that Grant will be sacked anyway, my head tells me that United will win the league with a narrow win over those JJB scoundrels.

Relegation

I’d like to see Fulham stay up as their recent run should be admired and Brian McBride is an utter legend. But I do fear for them in the sense that Reading will come to life on the final day to rescue themselves and Birmingham might just get some magic out of McFadden to get a crucial point against Blackburn. But it’s going to be down to the wire as well and personally I think there’s a lot more at stake here than a top-of-the-table decider over which obscenely rich club ends up with a few extra million in the bank that they will only blow on agents fees anyway.

Rafa again

Sorry to come back to this guy but the haughty Spaniard amused me by valuing Peter Crouch and Xabi Alonso at £15m each. And for good measure Rafa might be hoping to squeeze £7m out of Newcastle (who else?) for John Arne Riise, whose best days look to be behind him at 27. Crouch is a good Premiership player, probably belongs in a 5th-8th place team such as Everton or Villa. But £15m? Save your money folks – Rafa has been conning teams in to paying over-the-odds for his transfer failures for the last few years. They got their money back plus a million for 7-in-27 striker Craig Beallamy from West Ham. And Juventus paid over £8m for the much-maligned Mohamed Sissoko – madness.

And who would pay £16m for Alonso? Oh. Juventus. The Spaniard is skilful but – like Michael Carrick – seems too slow and slight to be a top Premier League player and hasn’t really impressed in the last two seasons.

But I suppose you can’t blame Rafa in a way when Villa want £10m for Gareth Barry. I’m sure he’s worth it to Villa but he won’t bring that value to Liverpool’s first team.

Rangers not happy

Being successful comes at a price. Rangers have had a great season, winning the League Cup and reaching the Scottish and UEFA Cup finals. But their dominant position in the league has been chipped away at after back-to-back defeats to Celtic. With two games in hand they are four points behind their city rivals. But even though it’s in their hands the small matter of playing 8 games in 21 days is likely to impact their performances. The Scottish Football Association have refused to extend the season and Rangers have been barking madly, flinging the words “bungling” and “muppets” towards the men in power.

While one can have a degree of sympathy with Rangers, the idea that the season should be extended and subsequently inconvenience dozens of professional players and their families, borders on arrogance. Every season someone has a complaint about their schedule, sometimes with cause. But what is the answer? Start the season a month earlier?

And why should their title rivals Celtic support the moving of the goalposts? If the shoe was on the other foot you can be sure Rangers would not support the extension of the season “for the good of Scottish football”. If Rangers had already won the league or were out of the title race by now then they would simply play reserves in the remaining league games and no more would be said about it. I’m sure they would have little sympathy for complaints of the other league members should the hypothetical weakened teams they put out impact on the integrity of the competition. Best of luck Rangers but don’t worry – what goes around comes around, you’ll get your own back someday…


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